INTRODUCTION
Good day to you. My name is Luis A. Mendez. I’m a film critic based in Central Florida, and these are my PERSONAL Oscars Projections for the 2025 awards season.
If you want more detailed thoughts on my thinking on why I believe a certain film or performance may be a winner in certain categories, and why I have them ranked where I do, look out for my much more in-depth piece on the matter that might be over at Ordinary Times by the time this is published.
BEST PICTURE
My Prediction: One Battle After Another
Upset Alert: Sinners
Dark Horse: Hamnet
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Sentimental Value; Marty Supreme; Frankenstein; Bugonia; Train Dreams; The Secret Agent; F1
If I Had A Vote: 1. One Battle After Another; 2. Sinners; 3. Frankenstein; 4. F1; 5. Hamnet; 6. Marty Supreme; 7. The Secret Agent; 8. Sentimental Value; 9. Train Dreams; 10. Bugonia
BEST DIRECTOR
My Prediction: Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another)
Upset Alert: Ryan Coogler (Sinners)
Dark Horse: Chloe Zhao (Hamnet)
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Joachim Trier (Sentimental Value); Josh Safdie (Marty Supreme);
If I Had A Vote: Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another)
BEST CASTING
My Prediction: Sinners
Upset Alert: One Battle After Another
Dark Horse: Hamnet
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Marty Supreme; The Secret Agent
If I Had A Vote: One Battle After Another
BEST ACTOR
My Prediction: Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
Upset Alert: Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
Dark Horse: Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent); Timothee Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
If I Had A Vote: Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
BEST ACTRESS
My Prediction: Jessie Buckley (Hamnet)
Upset Alert: Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I’d Kick You)
Dark Horse: Renate Reinsve (Sentimental Value)
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Emma Stone (Bugonia); Kate Hudson (Song Sung Blue)
If I Had A Vote: Jessie Buckley (Hamnet)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
My Prediction: Sean Penn (One Battle After Another)
Upset Alert: Delroy Lindo (Sinners)
Dark Horse: Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value); Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein)
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Benicio del Toro (One Battle After Another)
If I Had A Vote: Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
My Prediction: Amy Madigan (Weapons)
Upset Alert: Wunmi Mosaku (Sinners)
Dark Horse: Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another)
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value); Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value)
If I Had A Vote: Amy Madigan (Weapons)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
My Prediction: Sinners
Upset Alert: Sentimental Value
Dark Horse: Marty Supreme
Just Happy To Be Nominated: It Was Just An Accident; Blue Moon
If I Had A Vote: Sinners
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
My Prediction: One Battle After Another
Upset Alert: Hamnet
Dark Horse: Frankenstein
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Bugonia; Train Dreams
If I Had A Vote: One Battle After Another
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
My Prediction: KPop Demon Hunters
Upset Alert: Zootopia 2
Dark Horse: Elio
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Arco; Little Amelie
If I Had A Vote: Elio
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
My Prediction: The Girl Who Cried Pearls
Upset Alert: Butterfly
Dark Horse: Retirement Plan; Forevergreen
Just Happy To Be Nominated: The Three Sisters
If I Had A Vote: The Girl Who Cried Pearls
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
My Prediction: Sentimental Value
Upset Alert: The Secret Agent
Dark Horse: It Was Just An Accident; Sirat
Just Happy To Be Nominated: The Voice Of Hind Rajab
If I Had A Vote: The Secret Agent
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
My Prediction: Two People Exchanging Saliva
Upset Alert: A Friend Of Dorothy
Dark Horse: The Singers; Jane Austen’s Period Drama
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Butcher’s Stain
If I Had A Vote: Two People Exchanging Saliva
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
My Prediction: The Perfect Neighbor
Upset Alert: Mr Nobody Against Putin
Dark Horse: The Alabama Solution; Come See Me In The Good Light
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Cutting Through Rocks
If I Had A Vote: The Alabama Solution
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
My Prediction: All The Empty Rooms
Upset Alert: The Devil Is Busy
Dark Horse: Armed With Only A Camera; Children No More: Were And Are Gone
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Perfectly A Strangeness
If I Had A Vote: All The Empty Rooms
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
My Prediction: “Golden” (KPop Demon Hunters)
Upset Alert: “I Lied To You” (Sinners)
Dark Horse: “Dear Me” (Diane Warren: Relentless)
Just Happy To Be Nominated: “Train Dreams” (Train Dreams); “Sweet Dreams Of Joy” (Viva Verdi!)
If I Had A Vote: “I Lied To You” (Sinners)
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
My Prediction: Sinners
Upset Alert: One Battle After Another
Dark Horse: Hamnet
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Frankenstein; Bugonia
If I Had A Vote: Sinners
BEST SOUND
My Prediction: F1
Upset Alert: Sinners
Dark Horse: Frankenstein
Just Happy To Be Nominated: One Battle After Another; Sirat
If I Had A Vote: F1
BEST EDITING
My Prediction: One Battle After Another
Upset Alert: Sinners
Dark Horse: F1
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Sentimental Value; Marty Supreme
If I Had A Vote: One Battle After Another
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
My Prediction: One Battle After Another
Upset Alert: Sinners
Dark Horse: Train Dreams
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Frankenstein; Marty Supreme
If I Had A Vote: One Battle After Another
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
My Prediction: Avatar: Fire And Ash
Upset Alert: Sinners
Dark Horse: F1
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Jurassic World Rebirth; The Lost Bus
If I Had A Vote: Avatar: Fire And Ash
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
My Prediction: Frankenstein
Upset Alert: Sinners
Dark Horse: Hamnet
Just Happy To Be Nominated: One Battle After Another; Marty Supreme
If I Had A Vote: Frankenstein
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
My Prediction: Frankenstein
Upset Alert: Sinners
Dark Horse: Hamnet
Just Happy To Be Nominated: One Battler After Another; Avatar: Fire And Ash
If I Had A Vote: Frankenstein
BEST HAIR & MAKEUP
My Prediction: Frankenstein
Upset Alert: Sinners
Dark Horse: The Smashing Machine
Just Happy To Be Nominated: Kokuho; The Ugly Stepsister
If I Had A Vote: Frankenstein



























