2023 Oscars Projections: 12.27.2022 Update
The Latest In A Weekly Updated Projected Outlook Of The Super Bowl Of Awards Shows
INTRODUCTION
From the first day of November until the eve of Oscars’ nominations morning, I am doing a weekly updated look at my personal projections and overall outlook for the coming Academy Awards. This will simply be a list of where I think the battle to get nominated stands in each category I’m currently tracking, with in-depth analysis and explanations of my thinking left for my Ordinary-Times monthly updates. For now, I am still just covering and tracking the “above-the-line” races, however I will be expanding to looking at ALL the categories next Tuesday in time for the turn of the calendar into the new year. This is for the update of 12.27.2022
BEST PICTURE
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection:
01. The Fabelmans
02. Everything Everywhere All At Once
03. The Banshees of Inisherin
04. Avatar: The Way Of Water
05. Top Gun: Maverick
06. Elvis
07. TAR
08. Women Talking
09. Babylon
10. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
“On The Bubble”:
11. RRR
12. The Woman King
13. Triangle Of Sadness
Keep An Eye On:
14. She Said
15. All Quiet On The Western Front ← Returning Entry
16. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever ← Returning Entry
Off The Board: Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio; Living
BEST DIRECTOR
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection:
01. Spielberg (The Fabelmans)
02. The Daniels (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
03. Cameron (Avatar: The Way Of Water)
04. Field (TAR)
05. McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)
“On The Bubble”:
06. Rajamouli (RRR)
07. Luhrmann (Elvis)
08. Polley (Women Talking)
Keep An Eye On:
09. Chazelle (Babylon)
10. Prince-Bythewood (The Woman King)
11. Kosinski (Top Gun: Maverick)
Off The Board: None
BEST ACTOR
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection:
01. Butler (Elvis)
02. Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
03. Fraser (The Whale)
04. Nighy (Living)
05. Cruise (Top Gun: Maverick)
“On The Bubble”:
06. Calva (Babylon)
07. Labelle (The Fabelmans)
08. Jackman (The Son)
Keep An Eye On:
09. Mescal (Aftersun)
10. Pope (The Inspection)
11. Driver (White Noise)
Off The Board: None
BEST ACTRESS
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection:
01. Blanchett (TAR)
02. Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
03. Williams (The Fabelmans)
04. Robbie (Babylon)
05. Davis (The Woman King)
“On The Bubble”:
06. Deadwyler (Till)
07. Colman (Empire Of Light)
08. Lawrence (Causeway)
Keep An Eye On:
09. Thompson (Good Luck To You, Leo Grande)
10. Ackie (I Wanna’ Dance With Somebody)
11. Goth (Pearl)
Off The Board: None
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Current Rating: Tilts Huy Quan
Current Projection:
01. Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
02. Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
03. Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)
04. Dano (The Fabelmans)
05. Hirsch (The Fabelmans)
“On The Bubble”:
06. Whishaw (Women Talking)
07. Pitt (Babylon)
08. Tyree Henry (Causeway)
Keep An Eye On:
09. Redmayne (The Good Nurse)
10. Rylance (Bones And All)
11. Teller (Top Gun: Maverick)
Off The Board: None
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection:
01. Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
02. Buckley (Women Talking)
03. Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
04. Monae (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery)
05. Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)
“On The Bubble”:
06. Hsu (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
07. Foy (Women Talking)
08. Mulligan (She Said)
Keep An Eye On:
09. De Leon (Triangle Of Sadness)
10. Chau (The Whale)
11. Palmer (Nope)
Off The Board: None
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection:
01. Everything Everywhere All At Once
02. The Banshees of Inisherin
03. The Fabelmans
04. TAR
05. Aftersun
“On The Bubble”:
06. Triangle Of Sadness
07. Babylon
08. The Woman King
Keep An Eye On:
09. Decision To Leave
10. The Menu
11. Nope
Off The Board: None
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection:
01. Women Talking
02. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
03. She Said
04. Living
05. The Whale
“On The Bubble”:
06. White Noise
07. Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
08. Top Gun: Maverick
Keep An Eye On:
09. Avatar: The Way Of Water
10. Marcel The Shell With Shoes On
11. Bones And All
Off The Board: None