From the first day of November until the eve of Oscars’ nominations morning, I am doing a weekly updated look at my personal projections and overall outlook for the coming Academy Awards. This will simply be a list of where I think the battle to get nominated stands in each category I’m currently tracking, with in-depth analysis and explanations of my thinking left for my Ordinary-Times monthly updates. For now, I am still just covering and tracking the “above-the-line” races, however I will be expanding to looking at ALL the categories next Tuesday in time for the turn of the calendar into the new year. This is for the update of 12.27.2022
BEST PICTURE
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection: 01.The Fabelmans 02. Everything Everywhere All At Once 03. The Banshees of Inisherin 04. Avatar: The Way Of Water 05. Top Gun: Maverick 06. Elvis 07. TAR 08. Women Talking 09. Babylon 10. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
“On The Bubble”: 11. RRR 12. The Woman King 13. Triangle Of Sadness
Keep An Eye On: 14. She Said 15. All Quiet On The Western Front ← Returning Entry 16. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever ← Returning Entry
Off The Board: Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio; Living
BEST DIRECTOR
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection: 01.Spielberg (The Fabelmans) 02. The Daniels (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 03. Cameron (Avatar: The Way Of Water) 04. Field (TAR) 05. McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Keep An Eye On: 09. Chazelle (Babylon) 10. Prince-Bythewood (The Woman King) 11. Kosinski (Top Gun: Maverick)
Off The Board: None
BEST ACTOR
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection: 01.Butler (Elvis) 02. Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin) 03. Fraser (The Whale) 04. Nighy (Living) 05. Cruise (Top Gun: Maverick)
“On The Bubble”: 06. Calva (Babylon) 07. Labelle (The Fabelmans) 08. Jackman (The Son)
Keep An Eye On: 09. Mescal (Aftersun) 10. Pope (The Inspection) 11. Driver (White Noise)
Off The Board: None
BEST ACTRESS
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection: 01.Blanchett (TAR) 02. Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 03. Williams (The Fabelmans) 04. Robbie (Babylon) 05. Davis (The Woman King)
“On The Bubble”: 06. Deadwyler (Till) 07. Colman (Empire Of Light) 08. Lawrence (Causeway)
Keep An Eye On: 09. Thompson (Good Luck To You, Leo Grande) 10. Ackie (I Wanna’ Dance With Somebody) 11. Goth (Pearl)
Off The Board: None
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Current Rating: Tilts Huy Quan
Current Projection: 01.Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 02. Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin) 03. Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin) 04. Dano (The Fabelmans) 05. Hirsch (The Fabelmans)
“On The Bubble”: 06. Whishaw (Women Talking) 07. Pitt (Babylon) 08. Tyree Henry (Causeway)
Keep An Eye On: 09. Redmayne (The Good Nurse) 10. Rylance (Bones And All) 11. Teller (Top Gun: Maverick)
Off The Board: None
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection: 01.Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) 02. Buckley (Women Talking) 03. Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 04. Monae (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery) 05. Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)
“On The Bubble”: 06. Hsu (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 07. Foy (Women Talking) 08. Mulligan (She Said)
Keep An Eye On: 09. De Leon (Triangle Of Sadness) 10. Chau (The Whale) 11. Palmer (Nope)
Off The Board: None
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection: 01.Everything Everywhere All At Once 02. The Banshees of Inisherin 03. The Fabelmans 04. TAR 05. Aftersun
“On The Bubble”: 06.Triangle Of Sadness 07. Babylon 08. The Woman King
Keep An Eye On: 09. Decision To Leave 10. The Menu 11. Nope
Off The Board: None
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection: 01.Women Talking 02. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery 03. She Said 04. Living 05. The Whale
“On The Bubble”: 06. White Noise 07. Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio 08.Top Gun: Maverick
Keep An Eye On: 09. Avatar: The Way Of Water 10. Marcel The Shell With Shoes On 11. Bones And All
![The Banshees Of Inisherin Star Kerry Condon Stands Out While Blending In [Exclusive Interview]](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76f987cc-92da-42f0-b34a-0e9b31c509b3_1600x899.jpeg "The Banshees Of Inisherin Star Kerry Condon Stands Out While Blending In [Exclusive Interview]")
