From the first day of November until the eve of Oscars’ nominations morning, I am doing a weekly updated look at my personal projections and overall outlook for the coming Academy Awards. This will simply be a list of where I think the battle to get nominated stands in each category I’m currently tracking, with in-depth analysis and explanations of my thinking left for my Ordinary-Times monthly updates. For now, I am still just covering and tracking the “above-the-line” races. This is for the update of 12.13.2022
BEST PICTURE
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection: 01.The Fabelmans 02. Everything Everywhere All At Once 03. The Banshees of Inisherin 04. Avatar: The Way Of Water 05. Top Gun: Maverick 06. TAR 07. Women Talking 08. Elvis 09. Babylon 10. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
“On The Bubble”: 11.Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio 12. She Said 13. The Woman King 14. Till 15. RRR
Keep An Eye Out For: 16. Triangle Of Sadness 17. Decision To Leave 18. Aftersun 19. Living 20. The Whale
Off The Board: All Quiet On The Western Front; Bardo; Black Panther: Wakanda Forever; Empire Of Light; Thirteen Lives
BEST DIRECTOR
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection: 01.Spielberg (The Fabelmans) 02. The Daniels (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 03. Cameron (Avatar: The Way Of Water) 04. Field (TAR) 05. Polley (Women Talking)
“On The Bubble”: 06.McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin) 07. Chazelle (Babylon) 08. Rajamouli (RRR) 09. Luhrmann (Elvis) 10. Kosinski (Top Gun: Maverick)
Keep An Eye Out For: 11.Del Toro (Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio) 12. Prince-Bythewood (The Woman King) 13. Ostlund (Triangle Of Sadness) 14. Chan-Wook (Decision To Leave) 15. Iñárritu (Bardo)
Off The Board: None
BEST ACTOR
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection: 01.Butler (Elvis) 02. Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin) 03. Fraser (The Whale) 04. Jackman (The Son) 05. Nighy (Living)
“On The Bubble”: 06.Cruise (Top Gun: Maverick) 07. Calva (Babylon) 08. Labelle (The Fabelmans) 09. Pope (The Inspection) 10. Driver (White Noise)
Keep An Eye Out For: 11.Mescal (Aftersun) 12. Sandler (Hustle) 13. Hae-il (Decision To Leave) 14. Gimenez Cacho (Bardo) 15. Kang-ho (Broker)
Off The Board: None
BEST ACTRESS
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection: 01.Blanchett (TAR) 02. Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 03. Williams (The Fabelmans) 04. Robbie (Babylon) 05. Deadwyler (Till)
“On The Bubble”: 06.Davis (The Woman King) 07. Colman (Empire Of Light) 08. Mara (Women Talking) 09. Kazan (She Said) 10. Lawrence (Causeway)
Keep An Eye Out For: 11. Thompson (Good Luck To You, Leo Grande) 12. Goth (Pearl) 13. Krieps (Corsage) 14. Wei (Decision To Leave) 15. Ackie (I Wanna’ Dance With Somebody)
Off The Board: None
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Current Rating: Tilts Huy Quan
Current Projection: 01.Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 02. Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin) 03. Whishaw (Women Talking) 04. Dano (The Fabelmans) 05. Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)
“On The Bubble”: 06.Tyree Henry (Causeway) 07. Pitt (Babylon) 08. Redmayne (The Good Nurse) 09. Rylance (Bones And All) 10. Hirsch (The Fabelmans)
Keep An Eye Out For: 11.Teller (Top Gun: Maverick) 12. Harrelson (Triangle Of Sadness) 13. Ward (Empire Of Light) 14. Hopkins (Armageddon Time) 15. Cheadle (White Noise)
Off The Board: None
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection: 01.Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) 02. Foy (Women Talking) 03. Mulligan (She Said) 04. Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 05. Monae (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery)
“On The Bubble”: 06.De Leon (Triangle Of Sadness) 07. Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) 08. Hsu (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 09. Chau (The Whale) 10. Buckley (Women Talking)
Keep An Eye Out For: 11.Mbedu (The Woman King) 12. Hoss (TAR) 13. Smart (Babylon) 14. Union (The Inspection) 15. Dern(The Son)
Off The Board: None
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection: 01.Everything Everywhere All At Once 02. The Banshees of Inisherin 03. TAR 04. The Fabelmans 05. Triangle Of Sadness
“On The Bubble”: 06.Babylon 07. Elvis 08. The Woman King 09. Till 10. Decision To Leave
Keep An Eye Out For: 11.Armageddon Time 12. Aftersun 13. The Menu 14. Bros 15. Bardo
Off The Board: None
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Current Rating: A Pure Tossup
Current Projection: 01.Women Talking 02. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery 03. Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio 04. She Said 05. Living
“On The Bubble”: 06. Top Gun: Maverick 07. Avatar: The Way Of Water 08.White Noise 09. The Whale 10. Bones And All
Keep An Eye Out For: 11. Catherine Called Birdy 12. All Quiet On The Western Front 13. Marcel The Shell With Shoes On 14. The Son 15. The Northman
![The Banshees Of Inisherin Star Kerry Condon Stands Out While Blending In [Exclusive Interview]](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76f987cc-92da-42f0-b34a-0e9b31c509b3_1600x899.jpeg "The Banshees Of Inisherin Star Kerry Condon Stands Out While Blending In [Exclusive Interview]")
