Mid-Year 2023 Best Picture Oscars Projections
Hitting The Halfway Point As I Look Towards Next Year's Best Picture Oscars' Race
INTRODUCTION
Consider this my mid-way through the season outlook into the Best Picture race for the 95th annual Academy Awards which will be celebrating and awarding their choices for the best films from 2022. I’ve presented all 40 films via eight tiers that I have on my radar at the half-way point of the campaign and during a yet extremely early part of the awards season. If you want more detailed thoughts on my thinking on why I believe a certain movie may currently be a contender and why I have them placed where I do in the running, read my piece on the matter over at Ordinary Times.
TIER 1: THE FRONT-RUNNERS TO GO ALL THE WAY
01. Babylon
02. The Fabelmans
03. Killers Of The Flower Moon
04. Empire Of Light
05. Amsterdam
TIER 2: THE OTHER HEAVYWEIGHTS BREAKING INTO THE 10
06. The Killer
07. Rustin
08. She Said
09. Everything Everywhere All At Once
10. Bardo
TIER 3: SERIOUS CONTENDERS ON THE HEELS OF THE 10
11. Avatar: The Way Of Water
12. Top Gun: Maverick
13. RRR
14. Thirteen Lives
15. The Son
TIER 4: LONG SHOTS ON VERGE OF BEING TAKEN SERIOUS
16. Next Goal Wins
17. Women Talking
18. The Woman King
19. Don't Worry Darling
20. Cha Cha Real Smooth
TIER 5: LONG SHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
21. Marcel The Shell With The Shoes On
22. Elvis
23. Triangle Of Sadness
24. Decision To Leave
25. Holy Spider
TIER 6: VIABLE CONTENDERS THAT HAVE A VERY SLIM PATH
26. The Greatest Beer Run Ever
27. The Whale
28. White Noise
29. Three Thousand Years Of Longing
30. Nope
TIER 7: VIABLE CONTENDERS THAT NEED A PATH
31. Living
32. Tar
33. I Wanna Dance With Somebody
34. Till
35. All Quiet On The Western Front
TIER 8: UNLIKELY CONTENDERS BARELY HANGING ON
36. The Batman
37. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
38. Strange World
39. Turning Red
40. The Northman
PREVIOUS CONTENDERS DELAYED TO/CONFIRMED FOR 2023
- Across The Spider-Verse
- Asteroid City
- Disappointment Blvd
- Emancipation
- Maestro
- Napolean
- Poor Things
- The Color Purple
PREVIOUS CONTENDERS KNOCKED OFF THE BOARD
- After Yang
- Apollo 10 1/2: A Space Age Childhood
- Armageddon Time
- Blonde
- Golda
- Lightyear
- Pinocchio
- Spaceman
- The Banshees Of Inisherin
- Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
I haven’t seen it so I can’t judge, but do you think the new Top Gun has a shot because of industry chatter you’ve heard of because you think it’s that good?