Initial 2023 Best Picture Oscars Projections
The Starting Line As I Look Towards Next Year's Best Picture Oscars' Race
INTRODUCTION
Consider this my initial outlook into the Best Picture race for the 95th annual Academy Awards which will be celebrating and awarding their choices for the best films from 2022. I’ve presented all 50-55 films via eleven tiers that I have on my radar at the outset of the campaign and during an extremely early part of the awards season. If you want more detailed thoughts on my thinking on why I believe a certain movie may currently be a contender and why I have them placed where I do in the running, read my piece on the matter over at Ordinary Times.
TIER 1: THE FRONT-RUNNERS TO GO ALL THE WAY
01. Babylon
02. The Fabelmans
03. Killers Of The Flower Moon
04. Empire Of Light
05. Canterbury Glass
TIER 2: THE OTHER HEAVYWEIGHTS BREAKING INTO THE 10
06. The Killer
07. Thirteen Lives
08. Rustin
09. She Said
10. Bardo
TIER 3: SERIOUS CONTENDERS ON THE HEELS OF THE 10
11. Everything Everywhere All At Once
12. Avatar 2
13. Poor Things
14. White Noise
15. The Son
TIER 4: LONG SHOTS ON VERGE OF BEING TAKEN SERIOUS
16. Next Goal Wins
17. Women Talking
18. The Woman King
19. Don't Worry Darling
20. The Whale
TIER 5: LONG SHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE
21. Cha Cha Real Smooth
22. Three Thousand Years Of Longing
23. The Greatest Beer Run Ever
24. Spaceman
25. Nope
TIER 6: VIABLE CONTENDERS THAT HAVE A VERY SLIM PATH
26. Living
27. Tar
28. Armageddon Time
29. Disappointment Blvd
30. The Banshees Of Inisherin
TIER 7: VIABLE CONTENDERS THAT NEED A PATH
31. After Yang
32. The Northman
33. Emancipation
34. Decision To Leave
35. All Quiet On The Western Front
TIER 8: TYPICAL CONTENDERS THAT SEEM LIKE WEAK LINKS
36. Elvis
37. Blonde
38. I Wanna Dance With Somebody
39. Till
40. Golda
TIER 9: LIGHT BUZZ FOR THESE ATYPICAL CONTENDERS
41. Marcel With The Shell With Shoes On
42. Strange World
43. Turning Red
44. Pinocchio
45. Apollo 10½
TIER 10: ELEPHANTS IN THE ROOM
46. The Batman
47. Knives Out 2
48. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
49. Lightyear
50. Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse Part One
TIER 11: POTENTIAL SPOILERS
51. The Color Purple
52. Maestro
53. Napoleon
54. Asteroid City
55. A Gem Yet To Be Discovered