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Initial 2023 Best Picture Oscars Projections

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The 100% Free Newsletter Of The Mendez Movie Report, Where A Latino Film Critic Addicted To The Storytelling Power Of Cinema Jots Down His Thoughts On The Latest Movies, Lists His Favorite Classic Films, And Attempts To Predict The Coming Oscars Ceremony.
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Initial 2023 Best Picture Oscars Projections

The Starting Line As I Look Towards Next Year's Best Picture Oscars' Race

Luis A. Mendez
Apr 19, 2022
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Initial 2023 Best Picture Oscars Projections

www.mendezmoviereport.com
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INTRODUCTION

Consider this my initial outlook into the Best Picture race for the 95th annual Academy Awards which will be celebrating and awarding their choices for the best films from 2022. I’ve presented all 50-55 films via eleven tiers that I have on my radar at the outset of the campaign and during an extremely early part of the awards season. If you want more detailed thoughts on my thinking on why I believe a certain movie may currently be a contender and why I have them placed where I do in the running, read my piece on the matter over at Ordinary Times.


TIER 1: THE FRONT-RUNNERS TO GO ALL THE WAY

01. Babylon

02. The Fabelmans

03. Killers Of The Flower Moon

04. Empire Of Light

05. Canterbury Glass


TIER 2: THE OTHER HEAVYWEIGHTS BREAKING INTO THE 10

06. The Killer

07. Thirteen Lives

08. Rustin

09. She Said

10. Bardo


TIER 3: SERIOUS CONTENDERS ON THE HEELS OF THE 10

11. Everything Everywhere All At Once

12. Avatar 2

13. Poor Things

14. White Noise

15. The Son


TIER 4: LONG SHOTS ON VERGE OF BEING TAKEN SERIOUS

16. Next Goal Wins

17. Women Talking

18. The Woman King

19. Don't Worry Darling

20. The Whale


TIER 5: LONG SHOTS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE

21. Cha Cha Real Smooth

22. Three Thousand Years Of Longing

23. The Greatest Beer Run Ever

24. Spaceman

25. Nope


TIER 6: VIABLE CONTENDERS THAT HAVE A VERY SLIM PATH

26. Living

27. Tar

28. Armageddon Time

29. Disappointment Blvd

30. The Banshees Of Inisherin


TIER 7: VIABLE CONTENDERS THAT NEED A PATH

31. After Yang

32. The Northman

33. Emancipation

34. Decision To Leave

35. All Quiet On The Western Front


TIER 8: TYPICAL CONTENDERS THAT SEEM LIKE WEAK LINKS

36. Elvis

37. Blonde

38. I Wanna Dance With Somebody

39. Till

40. Golda


TIER 9: LIGHT BUZZ FOR THESE ATYPICAL CONTENDERS

41. Marcel With The Shell With Shoes On

42. Strange World

43. Turning Red

44. Pinocchio

45. Apollo 10½


TIER 10: ELEPHANTS IN THE ROOM

46. The Batman

47. Knives Out 2

48. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

49. Lightyear

50. Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse Part One


TIER 11: POTENTIAL SPOILERS

51. The Color Purple

52. Maestro

53. Napoleon

54. Asteroid City

55. A Gem Yet To Be Discovered


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Initial 2023 Best Picture Oscars Projections

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