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2023 Oscars Projections: The Next To Last Update

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The 100% Free Newsletter Of The Mendez Movie Report, Where A Latino Film Critic Addicted To The Storytelling Power Of Cinema Jots Down His Thoughts On The Latest Movies, Lists His Favorite Classic Films, And Attempts To Predict The Coming Oscars Ceremony.
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2023 Oscars Projections: The Next To Last Update

The Next To Last Projected Outlook Of The Super Bowl Of Awards Shows

Luis A. Mendez
Feb 28, 2023
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2023 Oscars Projections: The Next To Last Update

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INTRODUCTION

After a mixed weekend for Everything Everywhere All At Once last week, the frontrunner established itself as the film to beat by winning Picture at HCA, Picture at the PGA awards, and Ensemble at the SAG awards this past weekend. With WGA left, and final Oscar voting happening over the next week, here are my current projections for how Match 12th turns out.


BEST PICTURE

Everything Everywhere All at Once (2022) - IMDb

Current Projection: Tilts Everything Everywhere All At Once
01. Everything Everywhere All At Once
02. The Banshees of Inisherin
03. Top Gun: Maverick
04. All Quiet On The Western Front
05. The Fabelmans
06. TAR
07. Elvis
08. Avatar: The Way Of Water
09. Women Talking
10. Triangle Of Sadness


BEST DIRECTOR

Everything Everywhere All At Once was designed to break your brain - Polygon

Current Projection: Tilts Daniels
01. Daniels (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
02. Spielberg (The Fabelmans)
03. McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)
04. Field (TAR)
05. Ostlund (Triangle Of Sadness)


BEST ACTOR

Austin Butler Says He Drank Microwaved Ice Cream and Ate Donuts to Gain  Weight to Play Elvis Presley | Entertainment Tonight

Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two
01. Butler (Elvis)
02. Fraser (The Whale)
03. Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
04. Nighy (Living)
05. Mescal (Aftersun)


BEST ACTRESS

Tár' review: Cate Blanchett stars a manipulative classical conductor : NPR

Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two
01. Blanchett (TAR)
02. Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
03. Riseborough (To Leslie)
04. Williams (The Fabelmans)
05. de Armas (Blonde)


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Everything Everywhere All At Once' Proves Ke Huy Quan is a Movie Star |  Decider

Current Projection: Leans Huy Quan
01. Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
02. Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)
03. Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
04. Hirsch (The Fabelmans)
05. Tyree Henry (Causeway)


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

The Banshees Of Inisherin Star Kerry Condon Stands Out While Blending In  [Exclusive Interview]

Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two
01. Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
02. Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
03. Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)
04. Hsu (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
05. Chau (The Whale)


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

How 'Everything Everywhere All at Once' Helps to Heal Generational Trauma -  The New York Times

Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two
01. Everything Everywhere All At Once
02. The Banshees of Inisherin
03. The Fabelmans
04. TAR
05. Triangle Of Sadness


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Women Talking review: Religious commune reckons with rape, retribution |  EW.com

Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Three
01. Women Talking
02. Top Gun: Maverick
03. All Quiet On The Western Front
04. Living
05. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Pinocchio' review: A reimagined story is beautiful but comes with too many  strings attached | CNN

Current Projection: Likely Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
01. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
02. Marcel The Shell With Shoes On
03. Puss In Boots: The Last Wish
04. Turning Red
05. The Sea Beast


BEST ANIMATED SHORT

Apple Original Films lands animated short film “The Boy, the Mole, the Fox  and the Horse,” based on the beloved award-winning book by Charlie Mackesy  - Apple TV+ Press

Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two
01. The Boy, The Mole, The Fox And The Horse
02. My Year Of Dicks
03. The Flying Sailor
04. Ice Merchants
05. An Ostrich Told Me The World Is Fake And I Think I Believe It


BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

All Quiet on the Western Front' Review: A Visceral German War Film – The  Hollywood Reporter

Current Projection: Likely All Quiet On The Western Front
01. All Quiet On The Western Front
02. Argentina 1985
03. The Quiet Girl
04. Close
05. EO


BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

Le Pupille' Short Film, Explained: What Is The Meaning Behind The Title? |  Film Fugitives

Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two
01. Le Pullipe
02. An Irish Goodbye
03. The Red Suitcase
04. Ivalu
05. Night Ride


BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

The Dangerous Challenge of Making a Film About Aleksei Navalny - The New  York Times

Current Projection: Tilts Navalny
01. Navalny
02. Fire Of Love
03. All The Beauty And The Bloodshed
04. All That Breathes
05. A House Made Of Splinters


BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

In 'The Elephant Whisperers' An Indian Couple Raises Huge Kids – Deadline

Current Projection: A Pure Tossup
01. The Elephant Whisperers
02. How Do You Measure A Year?
03. The Martha Mitchell Effect
04. Stranger At The Gate
05. Haulot


BEST ORIGINAL SONG

The secret behind RRR's Naatu Naatu sensation | cinejosh.com

Current Projection: Tilts “Naatu Naatu”
01. “Naatu Naatu” (RRR)
02. “Hold My Hand” (Top Gun: Maverick)
03. “Lift Me Up” (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)
04. “This Is A Life” (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
05. “Applause” (Tell It Like A Woman)


BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

All Quiet On The Western Front (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) on Spotify

Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two
01. All Quiet On The Western Front
02. Babylon
03. The Fabelmans
04. Everything Everywhere All At Once
05. The Banshees Of Inisherin


BEST SOUND

Top Gun: Maverick' Was Great. Here's What It Needed More Of. - The Ringer

Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two
01. Top Gun: Maverick
02. All Quiet On The Western Front
03. Elvis
04. Avatar: The Way Of Water
05. The Batman


BEST EDITING

Everything Everywhere All At Once' Really Is As Good As They Say

Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two
01. Everything Everywhere All At Once
02. Top Gun: Maverick
03. Elvis
04. The Banshees Of Inisherin
05. TAR


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

All Quiet On The Western Front's Composer Made Music To Twist Your Guts  [Exclusive]

Current Projection: Tilts All Quiet On The Western Front
01. All Quiet On The Western Front
02. Elvis
03. TAR
04. Empire Of Light
05. Bardo


BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Avatar: The Way of Water Reviews Praise Visuals, Spectacle

Current Projection: Likely Avatar: The Way Of Water
01. Avatar: The Way Of Water
02. Top Gun: Maverick
03. All Quiet On The Western Front
04. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
05. The Batman


BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Babylon' is the worst movie of 2022

Current Projection: Tilts Babylon
01. Babylon
02. Elvis
03. The Fabelmans
04. All Quiet On The Western Front
05. Avatar: The Way Of Water


BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Elvis': How Catherine Martin Crafted the Film's Dazzling, Vegas-Worthy  Wardrobe | Vogue

Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two
01. Elvis
02. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
03. Babylon
04. Mrs Harris Goes To Paris
05. Everything Everywhere All At Once


BEST HAIR & MAKEUP

Tom Hanks in 'Elvis' is a career worst. Here's why it's shocking - Los  Angeles Times

Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two
01. Elvis
02. The Whale
03. The Batman
04. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
05. All Quiet On The Western Front


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