After an exciting DGA Awards’ results, and qwhite the disappointing BAFTA showing, we are now headed towards a pivotal weekend. We have the HCA Awards on Friday which could help with campaign optics in the room, PGA Awards on Saturday which will likely tell us how wide open the Best Picture race really is, and the SAG Awards on Sunday which will tell us if the Everything Everywhere All At Once acting support is as big as we anticipate. Here are my projections for where the Oscar races are after a confounding DGA/BAFTA weekend.
BEST PICTURE
Current Projection: A Tossup Between The Top Four 01.Everything Everywhere All At Once 02. The Banshees of Inisherin 03. Top Gun: Maverick 04. All Quiet On The Western Front 05. The Fabelmans 06. TAR 07. Elvis 08. Avatar: The Way Of Water 09. Women Talking 10. Triangle Of Sadness
BEST DIRECTOR
Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two 01.Daniels (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 02. Spielberg (The Fabelmans) 03. McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin) 04. Field (TAR) 05. Ostlund (Triangle Of Sadness)
BEST ACTOR
Current Projection: Tilts Butler 01.Butler (Elvis) 02. Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin) 03. Fraser (The Whale) 04. Nighy (Living) 05. Mescal (Aftersun)
BEST ACTRESS
Current Projection: Tilts Blanchett 01.Blanchett (TAR) 02. Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 03. Riseborough (To Leslie) 04. Williams (The Fabelmans) 05. de Armas (Blonde)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Current Projection: Tilts Huy Quan 01.Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 02. Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin) 03. Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin) 04. Hirsch (The Fabelmans) 05. Tyree Henry (Causeway)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two 01.Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) 02. Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) 03. Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 04. Hsu (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 05. Chau (The Whale)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two 01.Everything Everywhere All At Once 02. The Banshees of Inisherin 03. The Fabelmans 04. TAR 05. Triangle Of Sadness
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Three 01.Women Talking 02. Top Gun: Maverick 03. All Quiet On The Western Front 04. Living 05. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Current Projection: LikelyGuillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio 01.Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio 02. Puss In Boots: The Last Wish 03. Marcel The Shell With Shoes On 04. Turning Red 05. The Sea Beast
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two 01. The Boy, The Mole, The Fox And The Horse 02. My Year Of Dicks 03. The Flying Sailor 04. Ice Merchants 05. An Ostrich Told Me The World Is Fake And I Think I Believe It
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Current Projection: Likely All Quiet On The Western Front 01.All Quiet On The Western Front 02. Argentina 1985 03. The Quiet Girl 04. Close 05. EO
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two 01.Le Pullipe 02. An Irish Goodbye 03. The Red Suitcase 04. Ivalu 05. Night Ride
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Current Projection: A Tossup Between The Top Three 01.Navalny 02. Fire Of Love 03. All The Beauty And The Bloodshed 04. All That Breathes 05. A House Made Of Splinters
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Current Projection: A Pure Tossup 01.The Elephant Whisperers 02. How Do You Measure A Year? 03. The Martha Mitchell Effect 04. Haulot 05. Stranger At The Gate
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Current Projection: Leans “Naatu Naatu” 01. “Naatu Naatu” (RRR) 02. “Hold My Hand” (Top Gun: Maverick) 03. “Lift Me Up” (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) 04. “This Is A Life” (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 05. “Applause” (Tell It Like A Woman)
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two 01.All Quiet On The Western Front 02. Babylon 03. The Fabelmans 04. Everything Everywhere All At Once 05. The Banshees Of Inisherin
BEST SOUND
Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two 01.Top Gun: Maverick 02. All Quiet On The Western Front 03. Elvis 04. Avatar: The Way Of Water 05. The Batman
BEST EDITING
Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two 01.Top Gun: Maverick 02. Everything Everywhere All At Once 03. Elvis 04. The Banshees Of Inisherin 05. TAR
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two 01.All Quiet On The Western Front 02. Elvis 03. TAR 04. Empire Of Light 05. Bardo
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Current Projection: Likely Avatar: The Way Of Water 01.Avatar: The Way Of Water 02. Top Gun: Maverick 03. All Quiet On The Western Front 04. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 05. The Batman
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Current Projection: Tilts Babylon 01.Babylon 02. Elvis 03. The Fabelmans 04. All Quiet On The Western Front 05. Avatar: The Way Of Water
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Current Projection: Tossup Between The Top Two 01.Elvis 02. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 03. Babylon 04. Mrs Harris Goes To Paris 05. Everything Everywhere All At Once
BEST HAIR & MAKEUP
Current Projection: Tilts Elvis 01.Elvis 02. The Whale 03. The Batman 04. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 05. All Quiet On The Western Front
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