From the first day of November until the eve of Oscars’ nominations morning, I have been doing a weekly updated look at my personal projections and overall outlook for the coming Academy Awards. This will simply be a list of where I think the battle to get nominated stands in each category I’m currently tracking, with in-depth analysis and explanations of my thinking having been left for my final Ordinary-Times monthly update. These are my FINAL predictions for tomorrow morning’s nominations.
BEST PICTURE
Final Projection: 01.Everything Everywhere All At Once 02. The Banshees of Inisherin 03. The Fabelmans 04. Elvis 05. TAR 06. All Quiet On The Western Front 07. Top Gun: Maverick 08. Avatar: The Way Of Water 09. The Whale 10. Babylon
Watch Out For: 11. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 12. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery 13. Women Talking 14. She Said 15. Living 16. Triangle Of Sadness 17. Aftersun 18. RRR 19. The Woman King 20. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Potential Stunner: 21. The Batman
BEST DIRECTOR
Final Projection: 01.Spielberg (The Fabelmans) 02. Daniels (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 03. McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin) 04. Field (TAR) 05. Berger (All Quiet On The Western Front)
Watch Out For: 06.Kosinski (Top Gun: Maverick) 07. Luhrmann (Elvis) 08. Cameron (Avatar: The Way Of Water) 09. Rajamouli (RRR) 10. Ostlund (Triangle Of Sadness)
Potential Stunner: 11. Prince-Bythewood (The Woman King)
BEST ACTOR
Final Projection: 01.Fraser (The Whale) 02. Butler (Elvis) 03. Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin) 04. Nighy (Living) 05. Cruise (Top Gun: Maverick)
Watch Out For: 06. Mescal (Aftersun) 07. Labelle (The Fabelmans) 08. Calva (Babylon) 09. Sandler (Hustle) 10. Hanks (A Man Called Otto)
Potential Stunner: 11. Fiennes (The Menu)
BEST ACTRESS
Final Projection: 01.Blanchett (TAR) 02. Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 03. Davis (The Woman King) 04. de Armas (Blonde) 05. Williams (The Fabelmans)
Watch Out For: 06. Deadwyler (Till) 07. Robbie (Babylon) 08. Colman (Empire Of Light) 09. Thompson (Good Luck To You, Leo Grande) 10. Ackie (Whitney Houston: I Wanna’ Dance With Somebody)
Potential Stunner: 11. Riseborough (To Leslie)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Final Projection: 01.Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 02. Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin) 03. Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin) 04. Dano (The Fabelmans) 05. Redmayne (The Good Nurse)
Watch Out For: 06. Pitt (Babylon) 07. Tyree Henry (Causeway) 08. Whishaw (Women Talking) 09. Hirsch (The Fabelmans) 10. Hanks (Elvis)
Potential Stunner: 11. Schuch (All Quiet On The Western Front)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Final Projection: 01.Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) 02. Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) 03. Chau (The Whale) 04. Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All At Once) 05. Hsu (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
Watch Out For: 06. De Leon (Triangle Of Sadness) 07. Monae (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery) 08. Buckley (Women Talking) 09. Mulligan (She Said) 10. Hoss (TAR)
Potential Stunner: 11. Williams (The Fabelmans) ← Potential Category Swap
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Final Projection: 01.Everything Everywhere All At Once 02. The Banshees of Inisherin 03. The Fabelmans 04. TAR 05. Triangle Of Sadness
Watch Out For: 06.Aftersun 07. Decision To Leave 08. Babylon 09. The Woman King 10. Elvis
Potential Stunner: 11. The Menu
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Final Projection: 01.The Whale 02. Women Talking 03. Living 04. She Said 05. All Quiet On The Western Front
Watch Out For: 06. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery 07. Top Gun: Maverick 08.Avatar: The Way Of Water 09. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio 10. White Noise
Potential Stunner: 11. Bones And All
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Final Projection: 01.Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio 02. Marcel The Shell With Shoes On 03. Puss In Boots: The Last Wish 04. Turning Red 05. Wendell And Wild
Watch Out For: 06.The Sea Beast 07. My Father’s Dragon 08. Inu-Oh 09. The Bad Guys 10. Minions: Rise Of Gru
Potential Stunner: 11. Strange World
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Final Projection: 01. The Boy, The Mole, The Fox And The Horse 02. New Moon 03. Save Ralph 04. My Year Of Dicks 05. The Flying Sailor
Watch Out For: 06. Ice Merchants 07. An Ostrich Told Me The World Is Fake And I Think I Believe It 08. It’s Nice In Here 09. Sierra 10. Black Slide
Potential Stunner: 11. The Debutante
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Final Projection: 01.All Quiet On The Western Front 02. Decision To Leave 03. Argentina 1985 04. Bardo 05. The Quiet Girl
Watch Out For: 06.Close 07. EO 08. Saint Omer 09. Holy Spider 10. Return To Seoul
Potential Stunner: 11. Joyland
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
Final Projection: 01.Le Pullipe 02. An Irish Goodbye 03. Warsha 04. The Red Suitcase 05. Nakam
Watch Out For: 06.Ivalu 07. The Lone Wolf 08. The Treatment 09. Sideral 10. Almost Home
Potential Stunner: 11. Plastic Killer
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Final Projection: 01.All The Beauty And The Bloodshed 02. All That Breathes 03. Fire Of Love 04. Navalny 05. Descendant
Watch Out For: 06.Moonage Daydream 07. The Janes 08. Retrograde 09. Bad Axe 10. The Territory
Potential Stunner: 11. Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Final Projection: 01.The Flagmakers 02. 38 At The Garden 03. How Do You Measure A Year? 04. The Elephant Whisperers 05. Nuisance Bear
Watch Out For: 06.The Martha Mitchell Effect 07. Holding Moses 08. As Far As They Can Run 09. Haulot 10. Anastasia
Potential Stunner: 11. Stranger At The Gate
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Final Projection: 01. “Naatu Naatu”;RRR 02. “Hold My Hand”;Top Gun: Maverick 03. “Lift Me Up”;Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 04. “Ciao Papa”;Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio 05. “Applause”;Tell It Like A Woman
Watch Out For: 06.“Carolina”;Where The Crawdads Sing 07. “New Body Roomba”;White Noise 08. “This Is A Life”;Everything Everywhere All At Once 09. “You Give Me Strength”;Avatar: The Way Of Water 10. “Stand Up”; Till
Potential Stunner: 11. “Good Afternoon”; Spirited
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Final Projection: 01.Babylon 02. Women Talking 03. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio 04. The Banshees Of Inisherin 05. The Fabelmans
Watch Out For: 06.All Quiet On The Western Front 07. The Woman King 08. Everything Everywhere All At Once 09. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 10. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Potential Stunner: 11. She Said
BEST SOUND
Final Projection: 01.Top Gun: Maverick 02. Everything Everywhere All At Once 03. Elvis 04. All Quiet On The Western Front 05. Avatar: The Way Of Water
Watch Out For: 06.Babylon 07. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 08. The Batman 09. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Potential Stunner: 10. Moonage Daydream
BEST EDITING
Final Projection: 01.Everything Everywhere All At Once 02. Top Gun: Maverick 03. The Banshees Of Inisherin 04. Elvis 05. All Quiet On The Western Front
Watch Out For: 06.The Fabelmans 07. TAR 08. Avatar: The Way Of Water 09. Babylon 10. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Potential Stunner: 11. Women Talking
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Final Projection: 01.Top Gun: Maverick 02. All Quiet On The Western Front 03. Elvis 04. The Batman 05. Empire Of Light
Watch Out For: 06.The Fabelmans 07. The Banshees Of Inisherin 08. Avatar: The Way Of Water 09. Babylon 10. Bardo
Potential Stunner: 11. TAR
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Final Projection: 01.Avatar: The Way Of Water 02. Top Gun: Maverick 03. All Quiet On The Western Front 04. The Batman 05. Thirteen Lives
Watch Out For: 06.Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 07. Doctor Strange In The Multiverse Of Madness 08. Nope 09. Jurassic World: Dominion
Potential Stunner: 10. Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets Of Dumbledore
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Final Projection: 01.Babylon 02. Elvis 03. Avatar: The Way Of Water 04. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 05. All Quiet On The Western Front
Watch Out For: 06.Everything Everywhere All At Once 07. The Banshees Of Inisherin 08. The Fabelmans 09. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery 10. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Potential Stunner: 11. The Batman
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Final Projection: 01.Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 02. Elvis 03. Babylon 04. The Woman King 05. Mrs Harris Goes To Paris
Watch Out For: 06.Everything Everywhere All At Once 07. The Fabelmans 08. Living 09. Women Talking 10. Corsage
Potential Stunner: 11. Amsterdam
BEST HAIR & MAKEUP
Final Projection: 01.The Whale 02. Elvis 03. Blonde 04. The Batman 05. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Watch Out For: 06.All Quiet On The Western Front 07. Babylon 08. Amsterdam 09. Crimes Of The Future
